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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Stevenage
1 - 0
Wrexham

Thompson (10')
Butler (27'), Roberts (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connor (39'), Cannon (68'), O'Connell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 0-1 Wrexham

Early into the new campaign, Wrexham have proven they have a lot more attacking depth outside of Mullin, and we believe they will be able to overcome a stubborn Stevenage side who are not particularly dangerous going forward. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
StevenageDrawWrexham
45.57% (-4.228 -4.23) 26.16% (1.951 1.95) 28.27% (2.278 2.28)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-4.352 -4.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-6.554 -6.55)53.14% (6.553 6.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-5.854 -5.85)74.71% (5.855 5.86)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (-4.505 -4.51)23.26% (4.505 4.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (-7.037 -7.04)57.18% (7.037 7.04)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (-1.676 -1.68)33.61% (1.676 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (-1.872 -1.87)70.26% (1.872 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 45.57%
    Wrexham 28.27%
    Draw 26.16%
StevenageDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 11.4% (1.38 1.38)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.935 -0.94)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.638 -0.64)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.647 -0.65)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.628 -0.63)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.484 -0.48)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.99 0.99)
0-0 @ 7.82% (1.829 1.83)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.523 -0.52)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.53% (1.688 1.69)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.745 0.75)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Wrexham

Stevenage
15.6%
Draw
11.1%
Wrexham
73.3%
45
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
Buccaneers
30-36
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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