League One

League One | Gameweek 9

Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 0
Wrexham

Thompson (10', 10')
Butler (27'), Butler (27'), Roberts (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Connor (39'), O'Connor (39'), Cannon (68'), Cannon (68'), O'Connell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Wrexham

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Wrexham
45.57% ( -4.23)	26.16% ( 1.95)	28.27% ( 2.28)

Both teams to score 50.94% (

-4.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.86% (

-6.55)

53.14% (

6.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.28% (

-5.85)

74.71% (

5.86)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74% (

-4.51)

23.26% (

4.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.81% (

-7.04)

57.18% (

7.04)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38% (

-1.68)

33.61% (

1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74% (

-1.87)

70.26% (

1.87)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 45.57%

Wrexham 28.27%

Draw 26.16%

Stevenage	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 11.4% ( 1.38) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.94) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.64) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.65) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.63) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.48) Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.57%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.99) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 1.83) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.52) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.53% ( 1.69) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.27%