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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 22.76% ( | 23.79% ( | 53.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( | 47.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( | 69.97% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.63% ( | 35.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.87% ( | 72.12% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% ( | 17.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.46% ( | 48.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 6.55% ( 2-1 @ 5.87% ( 2-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.76% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 9.38% 1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0-3 @ 5.39% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0-4 @ 2.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.55% Total : 53.44% |