League Two

League Two | Gameweek 12

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
3 - 1
Fleetwood

Richards (33'), Croasdale (67'), Curtis (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Johnston (36')
Bonds (8'), Hughes (45'), Wiredu (48'), Graydon (62')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Barrow
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Fleetwood Town
46.56% ( 0.22)	25.19% ( 0.02)	28.24% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 53.95% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.78% (

-0.24)

49.21% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.72% (

-0.22)

71.28% (

0.21)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84% (

-0)

21.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.98% (

-0)

54.01%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.42% (

-0.31)

31.58% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.02% (

-0.35)

67.98% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 46.56%

Fleetwood Town 28.24%

Draw 25.19%

Port Vale	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.56%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.24%