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Championship header 2

League Two

MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Port Vale

MK Dons
0 - 1
Port Vale

Leigh (27')
Maguire (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hackford (77')
Debrah (36'), Richards (89'), Stockley (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-2 Arsenal U21s (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawPort Vale
42.84% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)24.71% (0.023 0.02)32.45% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.84% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)45.15% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)67.5% (0.074999999999989 0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)21.14% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (-0.117 -0.12)53.99% (0.116 0.12)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.66% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.9% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 42.84%
    Port Vale 32.45%
    Draw 24.7%
MK DonsDrawPort Vale
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 42.84%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.45%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Port Vale

MK Dons
31.8%
Draw
27.3%
Port Vale
40.9%
44
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Port Vale
1-0
MK Dons
A (22')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
MK Dons
2-1
Port Vale
Johnson (34', 85')
Tucker (90+2')
Harrison (90+3')
Harrison (53')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
MK Dons
0-1
Port Vale
Worrall (20')
Joyce (71')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
MK Dons
1-1
Port Vale
Wheeler (52')
Conlon (48')
Crookes (49'), Conlon (51'), Brown (98')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Port Vale
0-2
MK Dons

Smith (45'), Pope (57'), Conlon (86')
Aneke (23'), Agard (31')
Gilbey (87')
rhs 2.0


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