MK Dons
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk

MK Dons
2 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Harrison (26', 32')
Leigh (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Annous (30'), Butler-Oyedeji (36')
MK Dons win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between MK Dons and Arsenal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 2-5 Spurs U21s
Saturday, October 5 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 3-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawArsenal Under-21s
56.35% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)20.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.24% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 65.68% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.44% (0.045000000000002 0.05)31.55% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.96% (0.052 0.05)53.04% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)11.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)35.96% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06% (0.043000000000006 0.04)25.94% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06% (0.061 0.06)60.94% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 56.35%
    Arsenal Under-21s 23.24%
    Draw 20.41%
MK DonsDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 8.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.41%
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.67%
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 23.24%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Arsenal U21s

MK Dons
60.5%
Draw
13.2%
Arsenal Under-21s
26.3%
38