Leyton Orient
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Brisbane Road

Leyton Orient
1 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Happe (26')
Simpson (36'), Donley (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Robinson (3'), Kabia (55')
Rosiak (86'), Gower (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Leyton Orient and Arsenal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 4-1 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawArsenal Under-21s
52.32% (-0.473 -0.47)21.61% (0.127 0.13)26.06% (0.345 0.34)
Both teams to score 64.5% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.52% (-0.3 -0.3)34.48% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.59% (-0.337 -0.34)56.4% (0.335 0.34)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.55% (-0.24799999999999 -0.25)13.45% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.57% (-0.501 -0.5)40.42% (0.5 0.5)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.085000000000008 0.09)25.47% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (0.111 0.11)60.31% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 52.32%
    Arsenal Under-21s 26.06%
    Draw 21.61%
Leyton OrientDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.31% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.069 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.68% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 26.06%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21s

Leyton Orient
56.9%
Draw
10.3%
Arsenal Under-21s
32.8%
58