Fleetwood Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Barrow

Fleetwood
3 - 0
Barrow

Harratt (24', 35'), Smith (84')
Broom (15')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dallas (59'), Eccleston (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Fleetwood Town and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Bromley
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBarrow
46.5% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)25.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)28.47% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.63% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (0.009999999999998 0.01)48.39% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47% (0.010000000000002 0.01)70.52% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)20.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47%53.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (0.013000000000005 0.01)30.98% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (0.017000000000003 0.02)67.28% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 46.5%
    Barrow 28.47%
    Draw 25.02%
Fleetwood TownDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 46.5%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.47%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Barrow

Fleetwood Town
84.9%
Draw
7.5%
Barrow
7.5%
53
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Fleetwood
1-1
Barrow
(Aggregate 1-1 | Barrow win 4-3 on penalties)
Wiredu (30')
Johnston (43'), Omochere (49')
Rooney (44')
Zuk (72'), Rooney (86')
Oct 5, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Barrow
1-3
Fleetwood
Zanzala (28')
Matete (48'), Edmondson (55'), McMillan (67')