Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.