Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Worthing	Draw	Morecambe
28.62% ( 0.1)	21.27% ( -0.08)	50.1% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 68.18% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.34% (

0.45)

30.65% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.02% (

0.54)

51.98% (

-0.54)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18% (

0.29)

21.82% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96% (

0.44)

55.04% (

-0.45)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.21% (

0.15)

12.79% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.9% (

0.31)

39.1% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Worthing 28.62%

Morecambe 50.1%

Draw 21.27%

Worthing	Draw	Morecambe
2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.62%	1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 50.1%