Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Torquay United in this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	Worthing
44.27% ( 0.26)	23.35% ( -0.01)	32.37% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 62.69% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.22% (

-0.06)

38.78% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.91% (

-0.07)

61.09% (

0.07)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.09% (

0.08)

17.9% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.29% (

0.14)

48.7% (

-0.14)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

-0.17)

23.64% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.26% (

-0.26)

57.73% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Torquay United 44.27%

Worthing 32.37%

Draw 23.35%

Torquay United	Draw	Worthing
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.82% Total : 44.27%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.37%