Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.