Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.