Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
Welling United	Draw	Weston-super-Mare
30.07% ( 0.1)	25.43% ( -0.08)	44.5% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.29% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.71% (

0.4)

49.28% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.66% (

0.36)

71.34% (

-0.36)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.71% (

0.27)

30.29% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53% (

0.33)

66.47% (

-0.32)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

0.16)

22.12% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

0.25)

55.49% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Welling United 30.07%

Weston-super-Mare 44.49%

Draw 25.43%

Welling United	Draw	Weston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 8% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.07%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.49%