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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
1 - 0
Chippenham

B. Bak (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between Weston-super-Mare and Chippenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Weston
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Chippenham Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Weston
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawChippenham Town
43.64%24.42%31.94%
Both teams to score 58.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97%44.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59%66.41%
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32%52.68%
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56%26.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39%61.61%
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 43.64%
    Chippenham Town 31.94%
    Draw 24.42%
Weston-super-MareDrawChippenham Town
2-1 @ 9.08%
1-0 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-1 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31.94%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Third Round Qualifying
Chippenham
1-1
Weston
Gravata (63')
Reid (51')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Weston
2-1
Chippenham
Willmott (45+3'), Reid (90' pen.)
Owen-Evans (20')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Chippenham
0-1
Weston
Mannings (40')