National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
3 - 2
Hornchurch

Morgan (5'), Barnum-Bobb (14' og.), Edward Bak (37')
Kadji (82'), McCootie (90')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Nash (35'), Scannell (71')
Wraight (21'), Adams (81'), Nash (88'), Harvest (90+8')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 0-1 Weston
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-0 Welling United
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawAFC Hornchurch
31.87% (0.026999999999997 0.03)23.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)44.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.75% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.62%
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.016999999999996 0.02)25.11% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.021000000000001 0.02)59.82% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.012 -0.01)18.87% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)50.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 31.87%
    AFC Hornchurch 44.31%
    Draw 23.81%
Weston-super-MareDrawAFC Hornchurch
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.87%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.74%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 44.31%