Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.28%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Worthing	Draw	Weston-super-Mare
48.82% ( -1.26)	21.88% ( 0.19)	29.29% ( 1.07)

Both teams to score 66.36% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.78% (

-0.19)

33.22% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.02% (

-0.21)

54.97% (

0.21)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.88% (

-0.47)

14.12% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.24% (

-0.94)

41.75% (

0.94)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27% (

0.56)

22.73% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.6% (

0.82)

56.4% (

-0.82)

Score Analysis

Worthing 48.82%

Weston-super-Mare 29.29%

Draw 21.88%

Worthing	Draw	Weston-super-Mare
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 48.82%	1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.15% Total : 29.29%