Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.28%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.