National League South | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
1 - 2
Aveley

Kempster (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gibbs (28'), Odelusi (80' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
Last Game: Weston 2-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League South

Aveley

All competitions
Last Game: Truro City 1-1 Aveley
Saturday, April 6 at 7.30pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawAveley
44.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.99% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)31.83% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.11% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (0.052 0.05)42.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (0.052 0.05)64.47% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (0.019000000000005 0.02)19.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (0.028000000000006 0.03)51% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.034999999999997 0.03)25.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.050000000000004 0.05)60.41% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 44.18%
    Aveley 31.83%
    Draw 23.99%
Weston-super-MareDrawAveley
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.18%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.83%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Aveley
2-0
Weston
Ibie (41'), Vaz (53')