Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Aveley
34.85% ( 0.01)	25.39% ( -0)	39.76% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.36% (

0.01)

47.64% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.16% (

0.01)

69.84% (

-0.01)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

0.01)

26.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

0.01)

61.56% (

-0.01)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.29% (

23.71% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.17% (

57.83%

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 34.85%

Aveley 39.76%

Draw 25.38%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Aveley
1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.85%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.76%