National League South | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field

Aveley
2 - 1
St Albans City

Eze (61'), Coleman De-Graft (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jeffers (52' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions
Last Game: Farnborough 3-1 Aveley
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South

St Albans City

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawSt Albans City
35.96% (0.027999999999999 0.03)25.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.84% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.38% (-0.012 -0.01)46.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.11% (-0.012 -0.01)68.89% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (0.010999999999996 0.01)25.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.95% (0.013999999999996 0.01)60.05% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)23.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)57.85% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 35.96%
    St Albans City 38.84%
    Draw 25.19%
AveleyDrawSt Albans City
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.96%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.84%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
St Albans City
0-1
Aveley
Hernandez (64')