Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.