Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.

Result
Bath City	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
50.77% ( -5.04)	24.01% ( 0.87)	25.21% ( 4.16)

Both teams to score 55.16% (

2.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.59% (

0.57)

46.4% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.31% (

0.54)

68.69% (

-0.54)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.69% (

-1.65)

18.3% (

1.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.61% (

-2.87)

49.39% (

2.86)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52% (

4.07)

32.47% (

-4.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31% (

4.34)

68.99% (

-4.34)

Score Analysis

Bath City 50.77%

Hemel Hempstead Town 25.21%

Draw 24.01%

Bath City	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.82) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( -1.21) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.42) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.99) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.56) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.77%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.47) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.86) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.68) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.54) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.38) Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.21%