National League South | Gameweek 33
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
0 - 3
Farnborough

FT(HT: 1-2)
Haigh (19'), Norville-Williams (22', 77')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Weston
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Farnborough
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawFarnborough Town
29.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)23.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)47.41% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.57% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)41.42% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)63.82% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (0.033000000000001 0.03)27.02% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (0.042999999999999 0.04)62.38% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)17.7% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.65% (-0.1 -0.1)48.34% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 29.04%
    Farnborough Town 47.41%
    Draw 23.54%
Weston-super-MareDrawFarnborough Town
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.09% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.04%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 47.41%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Farnborough
3-0
Weston
Pavey (19'), Cullen (59'), Morton (63' og.)

Mannings (68')