National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field
Havant & Waterlooville

Aveley
1 - 2
Havant & W'ville

Coleman De-Graft (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McNerney (50'), Seager (87')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-4 Aveley
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawHavant & Waterlooville
46.15% (-0.136 -0.14)24.55% (0.045999999999999 0.05)29.3% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 56.76% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (-0.152 -0.15)45.85% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (-0.142 -0.14)68.16% (0.14699999999999 0.15)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.119 -0.12)19.96% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.87% (-0.194 -0.19)52.13% (0.198 0.2)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)29.08% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)65% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 46.15%
    Havant & Waterlooville 29.3%
    Draw 24.55%
AveleyDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.15%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.3%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Havant & W'ville
1-4
Aveley
Fall (8')
Bonner (83')
Vaz (20'), Gibbs (35'), Hughes (57'), Hernandez (80')
rhs 2.0


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