Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.