Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.