Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium
Barnet

Hornchurch
0 - 1
Barnet

FT(HT: 0-0)
Kabamba (85')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between AFC Hornchurch and Barnet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hornchurch 1-1 Braintree
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Barnet
Monday, July 22 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 82%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 5.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.87%) and 0-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (2.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawBarnet
5.85% (-0.7641 -0.76)12.15% (-1.245 -1.25)82% (2.011 2.01)
Both teams to score 43.64% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.13% (3.001 3)33.87% (-2.998 -3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.28% (3.33 3.33)55.72% (-3.328 -3.33)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.53% (-0.128 -0.13)53.47% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.05% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)86.95% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79% (1.032 1.03)6.21% (-1.0289 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.54% (2.784 2.78)23.46% (-2.781 -2.78)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 5.85%
    Barnet 81.99%
    Draw 12.15%
AFC HornchurchDrawBarnet
1-0 @ 2.08% (-0.348 -0.35)
2-1 @ 1.81% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 5.85%
1-1 @ 5.78% (-0.596 -0.6)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.541 -0.54)
2-2 @ 2.51% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 12.15%
0-2 @ 12.82% (-0.49 -0.49)
0-3 @ 11.87% (0.22 0.22)
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.905 -0.91)
0-4 @ 8.25% (0.606 0.61)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 7.44% (0.114 0.11)
1-4 @ 5.17% (0.36 0.36)
0-5 @ 4.59% (0.571 0.57)
1-5 @ 2.87% (0.348 0.35)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.026 0.03)
0-6 @ 2.13% (0.368 0.37)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.107 0.11)
1-6 @ 1.33% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 81.99%