National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Meadow

Chesham
1 - 2
Weston

Stevens (84')
Stevens (45+1'), Adebiyi (71'), Rowe (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coulson (55' pen., 90+3' pen.)
Dodd (73'), McCootie (80'), Thomas (90+5')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesham 1-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Chesham UnitedDrawWeston-super-Mare
46.41% (0.791 0.79)24.58% (0.174 0.17)29.01% (-0.966 -0.97)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-1.2 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.85% (-1.304 -1.3)46.15% (1.303 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.55% (-1.243 -1.24)68.45% (1.242 1.24)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)19.97% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (-0.31 -0.31)52.15% (0.309 0.31)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (-1.328 -1.33)29.44% (1.327 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (-1.653 -1.65)65.44% (1.652 1.65)
Score Analysis
    Chesham United 46.41%
    Weston-super-Mare 29.01%
    Draw 24.58%
Chesham UnitedDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.327 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.152 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.319 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 29.01%