Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.