National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Femi Akinwande 10' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Castiglione 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Deadfield 83'

AFC Hornchurch vs St Albans City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
Hornchurch 0 - 1 Eastbourne
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Darren McQueen

St Albans City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
St Albans City 2 - 2 Worthing
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ken Charles

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 33.79% (-0.14)
Draw 24.37% (-0.02)
St Albans City 41.83% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.47% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.78% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 43.21% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 34.39% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 65.61% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 17.81% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.19% (-0.02)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 75.07% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 24.92% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 40.44% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 59.55% (+0.09)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5 79.22% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 20.78% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 46.57% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 53.43% (-0.12)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 33.79%
Draw 24.37%
St Albans City 41.83%
AFC Hornchurch
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 33.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.37%
St Albans City
1-2 @ 8.88% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.14% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.65% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.35% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 41.83%