National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
4 - 2
Welling United

Cerulli (8'), German (65', 70'), Kennedy (83')
Wishart (62'), Tompkins (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chukwu (54'), Kurran-Browne (85')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 4-2 Bath City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-3 Chesham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWelling United
44.62% (4.432 4.43)25.6% (-0.216 -0.22)29.78% (-4.219 -4.22)
Both teams to score 53.59% (-0.94 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88% (-0.477 -0.48)50.12% (0.475 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91% (-0.424 -0.42)72.08% (0.42299999999999 0.42)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (1.966 1.97)22.41% (-1.968 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (2.859 2.86)55.93% (-2.86 -2.86)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (-3.04 -3.04)30.92% (3.039 3.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (-3.723 -3.72)67.21% (3.722 3.72)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 44.61%
    Welling United 29.78%
    Draw 25.59%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.767 0.77)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.449 0.45)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.979 0.98)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.467 0.47)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.678 0.68)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.26 0.26)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.32 0.32)
4-2 @ 1% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 44.61%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.548 -0.55)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.686 -0.69)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.771 -0.77)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.538 -0.54)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.493 -0.49)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 29.78%

How you voted: Hemel Hemps. vs Welling United

Hemel Hempstead Town
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Welling United
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hemel Hemps.
1-2
Welling United
Williams (90+8')
Kamara (57'), Alemanji (90+6')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Welling United
0-1
Hemel Hemps.

Bramble (75')
Williams (79' pen.)
Matthews (45+4')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Welling United
0-1
Hemel Hemps.
Roberts (80')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hemel Hemps.
2-3
Welling United
Castiglione (2'), Greenidge (45' pen.)
Payne (50' pen., 55'), Papadopoulos (54')
Olomowewe (66')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Welling United
1-2
Hemel Hemps.
Akinyemi (48')
Nembhard (70'), Wishart (89')