National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
1 - 1
Worthing

German (31')
Barzey (5'), Wishart (14'), Howe (64'), Williams (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Spong (90+7')
Willard (16'), Beard (52'), Rea (66'), Cashman (90+6')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Aveley 0-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, August 19 at 7.45pm in National League South

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 2-2 Worthing
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWorthing
23.78% (0.115 0.12)21.92% (0.116 0.12)54.3% (-0.233 -0.23)
Both teams to score 60.75% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72% (-0.427 -0.43)38.28% (0.425 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44% (-0.454 -0.45)60.56% (0.451 0.45)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)29.24% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.8% (-0.173 -0.17)65.2% (0.17099999999999 0.17)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)14.13% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.21% (-0.43 -0.43)41.79% (0.429 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 23.78%
    Worthing 54.3%
    Draw 21.92%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 6.11% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.08% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.12% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 23.78%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.34% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.52% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.21% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 54.3%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Hemel Hemps.
2-0
Worthing
Williams (45+1'), Whittaker (51')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Worthing
1-1
Hemel Hemps.
Colbran (82')
Iaciofano (50')
Krasniqi (66')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Worthing
3-1
Hemel Hemps.
Dabre (29'), Pearce (33' pen.), Wills (42')
Grant (45+2')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hemel Hemps.
1-1
Worthing
Melvin-Lambert (28' pen.)
Pearce (71')