Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slough Town would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Slough Town
32.64% ( -4.04)	23.48% ( -0.05)	43.88% ( 4.09)

Both teams to score 62.32% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.69% (

-0.71)

39.31% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.35% (

-0.75)

61.65% (

0.75)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.26% (

-2.5)

23.74% (

2.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.12% (

-3.74)

57.88% (

3.74)

Slough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

1.48)

18.28% (

-1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65% (

2.45)

49.34% (

-2.46)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 32.64%

Slough Town 43.88%

Draw 23.47%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Slough Town
2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.54) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.56) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.45) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.64%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.47%	1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.57) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.3) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.3) Other @ 3.66% Total : 43.88%