Braintree Town
National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ironmongery Direct Stadium

Braintree
2 - 0
Hemel Hemps.

Blair (53', 67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

King (84')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Braintree Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braintree Town

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Braintree
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-4 Aveley
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.

Result
Braintree TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
54.6% (0.015999999999998 0.02)23.82% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)21.57% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)49.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (0.012 0.01)71.25% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)17.9% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (0.020000000000003 0.02)48.69% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)37.28% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)74.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Braintree Town 54.6%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 21.57%
    Draw 23.81%
Braintree TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 54.6%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 21.57%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Hemel Hemps.
0-2
Braintree
Davies (25', 78')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Hemel Hemps.
1-1
Braintree
Hughes (19')
Janneh (41')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Braintree
3-1
Hemel Hemps.
Blair (32', 49'), Clemons (68')
Obi (43')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Braintree
3-1
Hemel Hemps.
Da Costa (26'), Crichlow (31', 87')
Scott-Morriss (65')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Hemel Hemps.
0-3
Braintree
Holness (10', 16', 62')