National League South
Apr 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
Maidstone United

Worthing
2 - 1
Maidstone

Pearce (25' pen., 89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bentley (41')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Maidstone United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 4-2 Weston
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Aveley
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
WorthingDrawMaidstone United
35.91% (0.127 0.13)23.61% (0.144 0.14)40.48% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.522 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.92% (-0.688 -0.69)39.08% (0.69 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (-0.727 -0.73)61.41% (0.728 0.73)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (-0.248 -0.25)21.85% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.92% (-0.376 -0.38)55.08% (0.378 0.38)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (-0.41000000000001 -0.41)19.65% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38% (-0.674 -0.67)51.62% (0.675 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 35.91%
    Maidstone United 40.48%
    Draw 23.61%
WorthingDrawMaidstone United
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.53% (0.162 0.16)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.91%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.138 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.69% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 40.48%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Worthing
5-1
Maidstone
Pearce (15', 35', 70'), Cashman (44'), Robinson (90+2')
Rush (61')
Gurung (33')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Maidstone
4-0
Worthing
Wanjau-Smith (15'), Amantchi (32', 55'), Coleman De-Graft (89')

Martin Sorondo (61')