National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Paddy Power Park
Maidstone United

Farnborough
0 - 1
Maidstone

FT(HT: 0-0)
Brown (77')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Maidstone United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Farnborough
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Maidstone
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawMaidstone United
35.45% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)23.99% (-0.026 -0.03)40.56% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 61.28% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97% (0.116 0.12)41.02% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58% (0.119 0.12)63.41% (-0.118 -0.12)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.98% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)56.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (0.10300000000001 0.1)20.44% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (0.165 0.16)52.89% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 35.45%
    Maidstone United 40.56%
    Draw 23.99%
Farnborough TownDrawMaidstone United
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.45%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.61% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 40.56%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Maidstone
1-1
Farnborough
Amantchi (90+2')
Maloney (52' pen.)