Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.