National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
4 - 3
Slough

Fall (22'), Cashman (31' pen., 57'), Colbran (47')
Fall (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Amartey (4'), Evans (59'), Chambers-Parillon (65')
Davies (61')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Slough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Worthing
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-2 St Albans City
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawSlough Town
40.67% (0.07 0.07)23.42% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)35.91% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 63.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)38.12% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.61% (0.017000000000003 0.02)60.39% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.84% (0.037999999999997 0.04)19.16% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.18% (0.061 0.06)50.81% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Slough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)21.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)54.41% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 40.67%
    Slough Town 35.91%
    Draw 23.41%
WorthingDrawSlough Town
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 40.67%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.91%

Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Worthing
1-1
Slough
Pearce (64')
Minhas (1')
Bayliss (50')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Slough
1-4
Worthing
Aguiar (10', 20'), Wheeler (69'), Luque (76')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Slough
1-1
Worthing
Jackman (65')
Beresford (45')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Worthing
2-2
Slough
Splatt (7' pen.), Bowry (76')
Davies (12'), Jackman (58')
rhs 2.0


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