/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fharlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
-
Jack Muldoon
24'
-
Josh March
61'
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George Dobson
67'
-
James McClean
74'
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James McClean
88'
-
Paul Mullin
88'
Harrogate Town vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fsimon-weaver.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result
Harrogate Town
26.99%
▲
(+2.90)
Draw
23.43%
▲
(+0.18)
Wrexham
49.58%
▼
(-3.07)
Both Teams to Score:
58.84%
▲
(+2.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.68%
▲
(+1.78)
Under 2.5
42.32%
▼
(-1.78)
Over 3.5
35.28%
▲
(+1.76)
Under 3.5
64.72%
▼
(-1.76)
Over 4.5
18.47%
▲
(+1.30)
Under 4.5
81.53%
▼
(-1.30)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5
71.07%
▲
(+3.23)
Under 0.5
28.93%
▼
(-3.23)
Over 1.5
35.19%
▲
(+3.83)
Under 1.5
64.81%
▼
(-3.83)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
82.79%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 0.5
17.21%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 1.5
52.51%
▼
(-0.83)
Under 1.5
47.49%
▲
(+0.83)
Score analysis
Harrogate Town
26.99%
Draw
23.42%
Wrexham
49.59%
Harrogate Town
2-1
@
6.74%
▲
(+0.55)
1-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.45)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.36)
3-0 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.28)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 26.99%
1-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.45)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.36)
3-0 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.28)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 26.99%
Draw
1-1
@
10.86%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.40)
0-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.41)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.42%
2-2 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.40)
0-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.41)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.42%
Wrexham
1-2
@
9.56%
▼
(-0.20)
0-1 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.87)
0-2 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.89)
1-3 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.21)
0-3 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.61)
2-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.19)
1-4 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.13)
0-4 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.30)
2-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 49.59%
0-1 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.87)
0-2 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.89)
1-3 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.21)
0-3 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.61)
2-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.19)
1-4 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.13)
0-4 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.30)
2-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 49.59%