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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Swindon Town

MK Dons
3 - 1
Swindon

Thompson-Sommers (45+4'), Williams (57'), Gilbey (64')
Hendry (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smith (1')
Smith (62'), Holloway (63')
Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
41.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)25.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)33.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 56.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)46.72% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.41% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.93% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)62.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 41.54%
    Swindon Town 33.34%
    Draw 25.11%
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.54%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.34%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Swindon

MK Dons
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Swindon Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Swindon
1-2
MK Dons
Austin (89')
Khan (45'), McKirdy (75')
Wearne (4', 8')
Bate (29')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
MK Dons
3-2
Swindon
Dean (39'), O'Hora (66'), McEachran (84' og.)
Grant (27'), Harvie (54'), Eisa (90+6')
Young (59'), Blake-Tracy (90+4')
Clayton (29'), Khan (37'), McEachran (53'), Austin (86')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
MK Dons
5-0
Swindon
Grigg (16', 45+2', 46', 49'), Fraser (26' pen.)
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
1-4
MK Dons
Payne (37')
Hunt (83')
Jerome (4', 40'), Harvie (28'), Poole (77')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
MK Dons
2-3
Swindon
Hesketh (60'), Agard (88')
Aneke (37'), Martin (72')
Doughty (34', 73'), Anderson (60')
Vigouroux (93')