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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 41.54% ( | 25.11% ( | 33.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% ( | 46.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% ( | 68.98% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( | 22.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( | 55.93% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( | 26.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.82% ( | 62.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.54% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.34% |