League Two

League Two | Gameweek 14

Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
1 - 1
Gillingham

Smith (90+4')
Clarke (45+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dieng (16')
Bonner (10'), Williams (61'), Hawkins (82')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Swindon
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Newport
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Gillingham
42.54% ( 0.05)	25.11% ( 0.01)	32.35% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 56.42% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.02% (

-0.08)

46.98% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.78% (

-0.07)

69.22% (

0.07)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

-0.01)

22.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.61% (

-0.01)

55.39% (

0.01)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

-0.08)

27.62% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85% (

-0.1)

63.15% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 42.54%

Gillingham 32.35%

Draw 25.1%

Swindon Town	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.54%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.35%