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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Newport County |
| 59.12% ( | 22.9% ( | 17.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.9% ( | 50.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.93% ( | 72.07% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.39% ( | 16.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.57% ( | 46.43% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.31% ( | 41.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.84% ( | 78.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 11.15% ( 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 4-0 @ 3% ( 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 5-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 2-2 @ 4.27% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 1-3 @ 1.39% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.99% |