League Two

League Two | Gameweek 12

Oct 18, 2024 at 8pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
0 - 3
Chesterfield

Antwi (40'), Wildig (48'), Hudlin (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Markanday (1', 1'), Grigg (84', 87')
Oldaker (3'), Araujo (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Newport
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 12 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Chesterfield
26.98% ( 1.97)	23.67% ( 0.47)	49.34% ( -2.43)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.56% (

-0.47)

43.44% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.17% (

-0.46)

65.83% (

0.46)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49% (

1.27)

29.51% (

-1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47% (

1.52)

65.53% (

-1.52)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.27% (

-1.08)

17.72% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61% (

-1.9)

48.39% (

1.9)

Score Analysis

Newport County 26.98%

Chesterfield 49.34%

Draw 23.67%

Newport County	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.27% Total : 26.98%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.73% Total : 49.34%