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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
Accrington Stanley

Gillingham
1 - 2
Accrington

Little (49')
Little (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Woods (60'), Costelloe (90+4')
Love (66'), Walton (85'), Awe (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawAccrington Stanley
53.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)45.98% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.09% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.28% (0.012 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (0.016000000000002 0.02)70.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 53.59%
    Accrington Stanley 22.98%
    Draw 23.41%
GillinghamDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 53.59%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 5.84%
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 22.98%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Accrington

Gillingham
94.1%
Draw
5.9%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Accrington
1-2
Gillingham
Henderson (50')
Gubbins (44'), Shipley (45+1')
Masterson (62'), Bonne (75')
Nichols (45'), Malone (82'), Nichols (90+1')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Gillingham
1-0
Accrington
Nadesan (29')
Jefferies (4'), Ogie (58'), Ehmer (90')

Andrews (26'), Bagueloc'rich (62')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Accrington
1-2
Gillingham
Bishop (90+1' pen.)
Adedoyin (62'), Sykes (66')
Kelman (64'), Oliver (73')
Thompson (81')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Gillingham
0-0
Accrington
Tucker (90+3')
Sykes (62'), Morgan (84')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Accrington
0-1
Gillingham

Sykes (45'), Nottingham (62')
Dempsey (45+1')
Jackson (80')