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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 53.59% ( | 23.42% ( | 22.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( | 45.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( | 68.28% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% ( | 17.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.71% ( | 47.28% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( | 34.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( | 70.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.11% ( 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 3-0 @ 5.36% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.88% Total : 53.59% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 22.98% |