Tranmere Rovers
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prenton Park
Accrington Stanley

Tranmere
2 - 1
Accrington

Hawkes (49'), Taylor (75')
Hendry (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Popoola (90')
Coyle (87'), Awe (88')
Awe (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Tranmere Rovers and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

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Last Game: Oldham 3-1 Tranmere
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Tranmere vs. Fleetwood
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
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Accrington Stanley

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Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Accrington
Friday, December 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Next Game: Accrington vs. Barrow
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawAccrington Stanley
50.11% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)23.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.36% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)45.18% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)67.53% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.9% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)18.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.96% (-0.07 -0.07)49.04% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.18% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.48% (0.018999999999998 0.02)67.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 50.11%
    Accrington Stanley 26%
    Draw 23.89%
Tranmere RoversDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Accrington

Tranmere Rovers
74.5%
Draw
8.5%
Accrington Stanley
17.0%
47
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Tranmere
3-0
Accrington
Saunders (3', 3'), Williams (45', 45'), Patrick (71')
Wood (90+1')

Kelly (29'), Kelly (29'), Whalley (44'), Whalley (44'), O'Brien (69'), Quirk (72'), Woods (88')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
gameweek 46
Accrington
4-1
Tranmere
Shipley (4'), Nolan (51' pen., 82' pen.), Henderson (53')
Coyle (78'), Shipley (90+1')
Norris (2')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
gameweek 9
Tranmere
2-0
Accrington
Hawkes (14' pen., 49')
Adkins (15')

Savin (14'), Leigh (79'), Hills (90+4')
Bagueloc'rich (42')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Accrington
2-2
Tranmere
(Aggregate 2-2 | Tranmere win 12-11 on penalties)
Adedoyin (37'), Astley (39')
Clark (90+2')
Hawkes (62'), Astley (90+3' og.)
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Tranmere
2-1
Accrington
Taylor (13'), Clarke (83')
Bishop (24')
Butcher (64'), Burgess (88')