Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.