Tranmere Rovers
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prenton Park
Accrington Stanley

Tranmere
2 - 1
Accrington

Hawkes (49'), Taylor (75')
Hendry (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Popoola (90')
Coyle (87'), Awe (88')
Awe (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Tranmere Rovers and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawAccrington Stanley
50.11% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)23.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.36% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)45.18% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)67.53% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.9% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)18.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.96% (-0.07 -0.07)49.04% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.18% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.48% (0.018999999999998 0.02)67.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 50.11%
    Accrington Stanley 26%
    Draw 23.89%
Tranmere RoversDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Accrington

Tranmere Rovers
74.5%
Draw
8.5%
Accrington Stanley
17.0%
47
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Tranmere
3-0
Accrington
Saunders (3'), Williams (45'), Patrick (71')
Wood (90+1')

Kelly (29'), Whalley (44'), O'Brien (69'), Quirk (72'), Woods (88')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Accrington
4-1
Tranmere
Shipley (4'), Nolan (51' pen., 82' pen.), Henderson (53')
Coyle (78'), Shipley (90+1')
Norris (2')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Tranmere
2-0
Accrington
Hawkes (14' pen., 49')
Adkins (15')

Savin (14'), Leigh (79'), Hills (90+4')
Bagueloc'rich (42')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Accrington
2-2
Tranmere
(Aggregate 2-2 | Tranmere win 12-11 on penalties)
Adedoyin (37'), Astley (39')
Clark (90+2')
Hawkes (62'), Astley (90+3' og.)
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Tranmere
2-1
Accrington
Taylor (13'), Clarke (83')
Bishop (24')
Butcher (64'), Burgess (88')