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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 0-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 2-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 19.13% ( | 21.15% ( | 59.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( | 40.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.79% ( | 63.21% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( | 34.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( | 71.7% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.69% ( | 13.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.84% ( | 40.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 5.18% ( 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 2-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 3-1 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 19.13% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 1-3 @ 6.69% ( 0-3 @ 6.36% ( 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 1-4 @ 3.37% 0-4 @ 3.21% ( 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 1-5 @ 1.36% 0-5 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 59.71% |