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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
MK Dons

Grimsby Town
1 - 3
MK Dons

Rose (16')
Warren (88'), Hume (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gilbey (49'), Hogan (53'), Lemonheigh-Evans (90+5')
Gilbey (65'), Lemonheigh-Evans (90+1'), Harrison (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 0-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 2-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawMK Dons
19.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)21.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.71% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.38% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.17% (0.030000000000001 0.03)40.82% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79% (0.028999999999996 0.03)63.21% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.037999999999997 0.04)34.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.042000000000002 0.04)71.7% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)13.31% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.15% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 19.13%
    MK Dons 59.71%
    Draw 21.15%
Grimsby TownDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 5.18% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 2.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 19.13%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.65% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 3.37%
0-4 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.36%
0-5 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 59.71%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Grimsby Town
1-0
MK Dons
Obikwu (33')
Gnahoua (9'), Mullarkey (16'), Holohan (44'), Hume (73'), Thompson (90')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
MK Dons
1-1
Grimsby Town
Payne (66')
Williams (45+7')
Pyke (20')
Conteh (64'), Ainley (85'), Wilson (90')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Grimsby Town
1-0
MK Dons
Thomas (27')
Ohman (25'), Whitmore (64')
Davis (41')

Gilbey (45'), Cargill (61')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
3-1
MK Dons
Embleton (50'), Thomas (61'), Vernam (73')
Welsh (90')
Agard (23')
Houghton (57'), Williams (73'), Walsh (84')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
MK Dons
1-1
Grimsby Town
Simpson (46')
Cargill (68')
Cook (35')
Whitmore (70'), McKeown (90'), Famewo (90')
Dixon (82')