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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 35.87% ( | 25.91% ( | 38.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.19% ( | 49.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( | 71.8% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% | 26.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% | 62.13% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( | 25.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.65% ( | 60.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0-2 @ 6.39% ( 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.22% |