Grimsby Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Blundell Park
Lincoln City

Grimsby Town
1 - 2
Lincoln

Svanthorsson (58')
Ainley (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cadamarteri (66'), Moylan (90+4')
Earley (42'), Erhahon (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Grimsby Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-3 Doncaster
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League Two

Lincoln City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawLincoln City
28.61% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)24.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)46.42% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.92% (0.025999999999996 0.03)48.09% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (0.023 0.02)70.25% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)30.73% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.064 -0.06)66.98% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.058999999999997 0.06)20.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (0.093999999999994 0.09)53.39% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 28.61%
    Lincoln City 46.41%
    Draw 24.97%
Grimsby TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 7.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 28.61%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.88% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.88% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.41%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Lincoln

Grimsby Town
26.0%
Draw
10.0%
Lincoln City
64.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 29
Lincoln
1-0
Grimsby Town
Toffolo (12')
O'Connor (5'), Toffolo (42'), Akinde (45')

Thomas (14'), Hessenthaler (39'), Whitmore (50'), Davis (71'), Ohman (84')
McKeown (76')
Aug 18, 2018 1pm
Gameweek 3
Grimsby Town
1-1
Lincoln
Woolford (33')
Clifton (70'), Collins (74')
Akinde (71' pen.)
McCartan (15')
Mar 17, 2018 1pm
Lincoln
3-1
Grimsby Town
Frecklington (32'), Green (34'), Wharton (39')
Palmer (90')
Davies (45' pen.)
Clifton (22')
Sep 30, 2017 1pm
Grimsby Town
0-0
Lincoln
Clarke (90')
Bostwick (27')
Dec 28, 2015 12.30pm
Grimsby Town
2-0
Lincoln
Amond (21'), Arnold (79')
Disley (37')

Waterfall (30')