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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 25.31% ( | 26.76% ( | 47.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.83% ( | 57.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.97% ( | 78.03% ( |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.74% ( | 38.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.98% ( | 75.01% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( | 23.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.89% ( | 58.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 2-0 @ 4.22% ( 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 3-0 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 25.31% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 2-2 @ 4.32% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 13.08% ( 0-2 @ 9.37% ( 1-2 @ 9% ( 0-3 @ 4.47% ( 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 1-4 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.93% |