League One Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Ethan Erhahon 19' yellowcard
  • Jovon Makama 47' goal
  • Sean Roughan 66' yellowcard
  • Dom Jefferies 67' yellowcard
  • Freddie Draper 77' goal
  • Ethan Hamilton 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Simpson 30'
  • yellowcard Dominic Ball 50'
  • goal Dan Agyei 81'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 90'+5'

Lincoln City vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Blackpool 1 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
James Collins

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Leyton Orient 0 - 1 Exeter
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Charlie Kelman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result

Lincoln City 44.86% (-0.01)
Draw 26.97% (-0.01)
Leyton Orient 28.17% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.49% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.72% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 56.27% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 22.68% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 77.31% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 9.92% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.07% (-0.01)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 75.01% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.98%
Over 1.5 40.37% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.62% (-0.01)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 64.63% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.36% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 27.88% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.12% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 44.85%
Draw 26.96%
Leyton Orient 28.17%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 44.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.96%
Leyton Orient
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 6.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.17%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Reeco Hackett 19' yellowcard
  • Jovon Makama 90' goal
  • yellowcard Max Sanders 55'
  • yellowcard Jordan Brown 68'
  • yellowcard Ruel Sotiriou 73'
League One Gameweek 11
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 11 0
FT Brisbane Road
  • Joe Pigott 10' goal
  • Joe Pigott 10' goal
  • Joe Pigott 10' goal
  • Joe Pigott 10' goal
  • Joe Pigott 10' goal
  • Joe Pigott 10' goal
  • Joe Pigott 10' goal
  • Joe Pigott 10' goal
  • Joe Pigott 10' goal
  • Joe Pigott 10' goal
  • Joe Pigott 10' goal
  • Richard Wellens 35' yellowcard
  • Brandon Cooper 70' yellowcard
  • Dan Happe 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 29'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 29'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 29'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 29'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 29'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 29'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 29'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 29'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 29'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 29'
  • yellowcard Ethan Hamilton 34'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 53'
  • yellowcard TJ Eyoma 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 53'
  • goal Ethan Hamilton 89'
League Two
Apr 22, 2006 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jamie Forrester 36' goal
  • goal John Mackie 2'
  • yellowcard Michael Simpson 34'
  • yellowcard Gabby Zakuani 60'
  • yellowcard Gary Alexander 62'
League Two
Oct 15, 2005 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gary Alexander 18' goal
  • goal Richard Butcher 70'
  • yellowcard Colin Cryan 80'
  • yellowcard Lee Beevers 83'
League Two
Feb 22, 2005 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • John Mackie 83' goal
  • goal Simon Yeo 3'
League Two
Oct 23, 2004 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Gareth McAuley 3' goal
  • Simon Yeo 14' goal
  • Gareth McAuley 48' goal
  • Richard Butcher 88' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Steele 11'
  • goal Jabo Ibehre 37'
  • yellowcard Lee Harrison 45'
  • goal Lee Steele 78'
  • goal Lee Steele 89'