League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
0 - 1
Port Vale

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chislett (83')
Chislett (83'), Baker-Boatiey (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Port Vale

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Port Vale
27.77% ( -0.11)	25.9% ( -0.02)	46.32% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.59% (

-0)

52.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.91% (

-0)

74.09%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38% (

-0.09)

33.62% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.73% (

-0.1)

70.26% (

0.1)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.4% (

0.06)

22.6% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.79% (

0.09)

56.21% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 27.77%

Port Vale 46.32%

Draw 25.9%

Morecambe	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.77%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.32%