League Two Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • goal Ethan Chislett 83'
  • yellowcard Ethan Chislett 83'
  • yellowcard Benicio Baker-Boatiey 85'

Morecambe vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
Harrogate 1 - 2 Morecambe
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ben Tollitt

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
Gillingham 1 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Lorent Tolaj

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result

Morecambe 27.77% (-0.12)
Draw 25.9% (-0.02)
Port Vale 46.32% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.38% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.59% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.41%
Over 3.5 25.91% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 74.09%
Over 4.5 11.94% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.06% (+0.01)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 66.38% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.62% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 29.73% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 70.26% (+0.10)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 77.4% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 22.6% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 43.79% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 56.21% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Morecambe 27.77%
Draw 25.9%
Port Vale 46.32%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.51% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.9%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 11.29% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.4% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.54% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.17% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 46.32%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 28
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Adam Major 51' goal
League One Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • Gavin Massey 40' goal
League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • Manny Oyeleke 14' yellowcard
  • Shaun Brisley 26' yellowcard
  • Nathan Smith 34' goal
  • Devante Rodney 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Lavelle 34'
League Two Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Globe Arena
  • Adam Phillips 76' goal
  • Liam Gibson 85' yellowcard
  • John O'Sullivan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 77'
League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 14, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Steven Old 6' goal
  • Cole Stockton 12' goal
  • Alex Kenyon 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 28'
  • goal James Gibbons 71'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 5, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luke Joyce 49' goal
  • Tom Pope 68' goal
  • Adam Crookes 73' yellowcard
  • Tom Pope 90' goal
  • goal John O'Sullivan 18'
  • redcard Jordan Cranston 32'
  • yellowcard Tom Brewitt 45'
  • yellowcard Lewis Alessandra 48'
  • yellowcard Sam Lavelle 76'