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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Port Vale |
27.77% (![]() | 25.9% (![]() | 46.32% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.59% (![]() | 52.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.91% (![]() | 74.09% |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.38% (![]() | 33.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.73% (![]() | 70.26% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% (![]() | 22.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.79% (![]() | 56.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 8.28% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.77% | 1-1 @ 12.31% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 4.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 11.29% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 60 |
2 | Notts County | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 53 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 53 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 20 | 22 | 52 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 52 |
6 | Port Vale | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 52 |
7 | Salford City | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 48 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Chesterfield | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 42 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 40 |
13 | Bromley | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 39 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 39 |
15 | MK Dons | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 38 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 38 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 37 |
19 | Gillingham | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 33 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 30 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 30 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 27 |
23 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |