MX23RW : Friday, February 14 01:58:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Port Vale

Morecambe
0 - 1
Port Vale

FT(HT: 0-0)
Chislett (83')
Chislett (83'), Baker-Boatiey (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Port Vale

Morecambe have the worst home record in League Two this season, picking up just three points from seven games, while Port Vale have the strongest away record, boasting 16 points from eight matches. We are actually expecting it to be tight in terms of the scoreline on Saturday, but we are backing Port Vale to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result
MorecambeDrawPort Vale
27.77% (-0.114 -0.11) 25.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 46.32% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 51.38% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)52.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)74.09%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)33.62% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.73% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1)70.26% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.059000000000012 0.06)22.6% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (0.085999999999999 0.09)56.21% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 27.77%
    Port Vale 46.32%
    Draw 25.9%
MorecambeDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.51% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.77%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 11.29% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.4% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.17% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 46.32%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Port Vale

Morecambe
11.1%
Draw
0.0%
Port Vale
88.9%
27
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Major (51')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Port Vale
1-0
Morecambe
Smith (34')
Oyeleke (14'), Brisley (26'), Rodney (89')

Lavelle (34')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Phillips (76' pen.)
Gibson (85'), O'Sullivan (90+5')

Legge (77')
Jan 14, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Morecambe
2-1
Port Vale
Old (6'), Stockton (12')
Kenyon (76')
Gibbons (71')
Legge (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall30186656332360
2Notts County30158747291853
3Bradford CityBradford30158740281253
4AFC Wimbledon29157742202252
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
6Port Vale30141063932752
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe31121273631548
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood29101093935440
13Bromley3091294040039
14Newport CountyNewport30116134147-639
15MK Dons30115144343038
16Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
18BarrowBarrow30107133233-137
19Gillingham2996142633-733
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2979133446-1230
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere3069152148-2727
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3056192349-2621


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