Port Vale
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Wrexham AFC

Port Vale
1 - 1
Wrexham

Richards (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cleworth (51')
Port Vale win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Port Vale and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Mansfield
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawWrexham
42.31% (0.0049999999999955 0)25.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)31.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 54% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)50.05% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)72.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.49% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)57.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.42% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)65.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 42.31%
    Wrexham 31.91%
    Draw 25.77%
Port ValeDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2%
Total : 42.31%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Wrexham

Port Vale
56.4%
Draw
14.5%
Wrexham
29.1%
55
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Wrexham
2-1
Port Vale
Mullin (70'), McClean (83')
McClean (73')
Thomas (31')
McDermott (90+7')
Apr 26, 2005 3pm
Port Vale
0-2
Wrexham

Birchall (76'), Walsh (83')
Holt (21'), Llewellyn (42')
Crowell (10'), Llewellyn (41')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Port Vale
Holt (72')
Llewellyn (65'), Ferguson (90')
Brooker (64')
James (51'), Hulbert (62')