League Two

League Two | Gameweek 14

Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
3 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Cover (9'), Richards (11'), Stockley (62')
Debrah (19'), Stockley (64'), Lowe (75'), Baker-Boatiey (87'), Ripley (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Neufville (61'), Hippolyte (78')
Lewis (11'), Jackson (12')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
41.45% ( -0.17)	27.86% ( -0.04)	30.69% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 47.21% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.48% (

0.21)

58.52% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.9% (

0.16)

79.1% (

-0.16)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21% (

27.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62% (

63.38% (

-0)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37% (

0.27)

34.63% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.65% (

0.29)

71.35% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 41.45%

AFC Wimbledon 30.69%

Draw 27.85%

Port Vale	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.45%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 30.69%