/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
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Hallam Hope
16'
-
Nathan Snowball
45'+1'
-
Adam Lewis
76'
-
Freddie O'Donoghue
75'
-
Ben Williams
78'
Morecambe vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F35%2Fderek-adams.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result
Morecambe
32.05%
▼
(-0.47)
Draw
26.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Carlisle United
41.85%
▲
(+0.47)
Both Teams to Score:
53.05%
▼
(-0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.7%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
51.3%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
26.87%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
73.12%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
12.57%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
87.43%
▲
(+0.08)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5
70.05%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 0.5
29.95%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
33.94%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 1.5
66.06%
▲
(+0.46)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
75.73%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
24.27%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
41.37%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
58.63%
▼
(-0.25)
Score analysis
Morecambe
32.05%
Draw
26.08%
Carlisle United
41.85%
Morecambe
1-0
@
8.76%
▼
(-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.05%
2-1 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.05%
Draw
1-1
@
12.4%
0-0 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-0 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
Carlisle United
0-1
@
10.29%
▲
(+0.11)
1-2 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.85%
1-2 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.85%