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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 45.8% ( | 26.09% ( | 28.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% ( | 52.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% ( | 74.57% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( | 23.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.08% ( | 56.91% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% ( | 33.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.69% ( | 70.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 4-0 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.1% |