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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Moor Lane
Carlisle United

Salford City
0 - 1
Carlisle


Mnoga (57'), Austerfield (74'), Jones (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barclay (88')
Adu-Adjei (28'), Neal (69')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
45.8% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)26.09% (0.0040000000000013 0)28.1% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)52.97% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (-0.004999999999999 -0)74.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.08% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)56.91% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (0.028999999999996 0.03)33.65% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)70.3% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 45.8%
    Carlisle United 28.1%
    Draw 26.09%
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.1%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Carlisle
2-3
Salford City
Garner (77'), Dennis (85' pen.)
Hendry (23'), Bolton (28', 88')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Salford City
1-4
Carlisle
Smith (52')
Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Salford City
2-1
Carlisle
Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Salford City
1-1
Carlisle
Wilson (79')
Touray (17'), Turnbull (58')
Tanner (11')
Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (55')